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Red12
542614.9
128527.7
528821.0
Blue100
132555.4
493218.1
481421.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4662010015020025030035012100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#34
27.71.3
29.027.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
blue by 27.7
55.41.9
40.242.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Second
5288
#17
21.02.2
12.410.3
Auto1.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4814
#14
21.73.2
12.215.5
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
5426
#26
14.98.5
14.96.4
Auto0.8
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 3.2
4932
#13
18.13.2
8.912.1
Auto1.5
Teleop16.6
End0.0