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Red48
459515.7
502429.6
490728.6
Blue20
49206.4
503914.8
21619.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5734020801001201404820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#16
29.60.6
18.517.9
Auto0.2
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 9.9
216
#22
19.70.3
18.718.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
28.60.4
24.123.7
Auto0.7
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 13.8
5039
#46
14.80.6
14.013.4
Auto0.9
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
4595
#18
15.70.6
13.012.4
Auto0.7
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 9.3
4920
#47
6.40.6
6.25.6
Auto0.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0