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Red16
502429.6
28817.7
471619.7
Blue24
503914.8
318116.9
49238.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5436020801001201624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#16
29.63.1
17.914.8
Auto0.2
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 12.6
3181
#37
16.90.5
15.815.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
4716
#23
19.73.1
13.09.8
Auto0.5
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 4.9
5039
#46
14.80.9
13.412.6
Auto0.9
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
288
#41
17.71.9
22.720.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 9.1
4923
#39
8.60.9
11.310.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.9
End0.0