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Red70
497628.9
471619.7
86527.5
Blue61
451930.0
459515.7
435717.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47300204060801001207061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.3
17.919.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4519
#12
30.03.3
15.018.3
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
865
#10
27.51.2
17.418.6
Auto0.8
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 9.9
4357
#27
17.63.3
9.112.4
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4716
#23
19.72.0
10.712.7
Auto0.5
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 4.0
4595
#18
15.73.3
9.512.8
Auto0.7
Teleop15.0
End0.0