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Red100
128527.7
434331.8
28817.7
Blue92
502429.6
528821.0
86527.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7342020608010012014016010092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4343
#11
31.81.5
26.127.6
Auto0.9
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 2.2
5024
#16
29.63.6
14.818.4
Auto0.2
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
1285
#34
27.71.5
23.524.9
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 0.2
865
#10
27.52.2
21.323.5
Auto0.8
Teleop26.7
End0.0
Third
288
#41
17.71.5
20.822.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 3.4
5288
#17
21.03.6
12.316.0
Auto1.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0