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Red128
502429.6
368368.8
359821.8
Blue98
493818.5
451930.0
494019.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12148010015020025012898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.80.7
66.667.3
Auto2.9
Teleop65.9
End0.0
red by 38.8
4519
#12
30.02.5
27.730.2
Auto0.4
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
5024
#16
29.60.9
26.327.3
Auto0.2
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 9.8
19.81.8
17.519.3
Auto2.2
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
3598
#35
21.80.7
21.121.8
Auto0.3
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 3.3
4938
#30
18.52.5
16.018.5
Auto0.4
Teleop18.1
End0.0