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Red88
499230.6
128527.7
461713.9
Blue60
503316.7
434331.8
375617.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67612040801001208860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#21
30.61.0
29.230.2
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4343
#11
31.80.1
29.829.9
Auto0.9
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
1285
#34
27.71.0
26.627.6
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 10.0
3756
#38
17.70.1
17.617.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
4617
#33
13.91.0
13.013.9
Auto1.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5033
#40
16.70.1
16.616.7
Auto0.7
Teleop16.0
End0.0