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Red154
497628.9
285269.4
128527.7
Blue154
368368.8
132555.4
21619.7
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119140050100200250300154154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.5
69.670.1
Auto0.5
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 0.7
68.80.2
67.968.2
Auto2.9
Teleop65.9
End0.0
Second
28.90.5
29.129.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 26.5
55.40.2
54.654.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Third
1285
#34
27.70.5
27.928.4
Auto0.2
Teleop27.5
End0.0
red by 8.0
216
#22
19.70.2
18.919.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0