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Red45
302412.6
247131.4
404313.3
Blue36
381217.7
405720.0
75312.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524701001504536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.1
29.929.8
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 11.4
20.00.2
19.819.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
4043
#15
13.30.1
11.811.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3812
#11
17.70.2
17.517.3
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
3024
#20
12.60.1
11.111.0
Auto0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 0.6
753
#21
12.00.2
11.811.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0