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Red79
255033.0
448852.1
20939.7
Blue74
381217.7
405720.0
75312.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98370501502007974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.2
51.251.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 32.1
20.00.4
19.620.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
33.00.2
32.131.9
Auto0.2
Teleop32.8
End0.0
red by 15.3
3812
#11
17.70.4
17.317.7
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
2093
#31
9.70.2
8.98.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 2.2
753
#21
12.00.4
11.512.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0