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Red81
247131.4
545012.5
263525.1
Blue48
24113.1
404313.3
546823.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3920060801001201408148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.43.6
19.022.6
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 8.1
23.22.0
7.39.3
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
25.13.6
11.615.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.2
End0.0
red by 11.8
4043
#15
13.32.0
8.210.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
5450
#14
12.53.6
6.910.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 9.5
2411
#30
3.12.0
8.510.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End0.0