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Red3
25179.5
151012.5
31928.8
Blue23
46626.8
247131.4
252124.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27400206080100120140160323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1510
#27
12.52.3
8.26.0
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 18.9
31.41.4
22.621.2
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
2517
#23
9.52.3
12.910.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 14.9
24.41.4
11.710.3
Auto0.4
Teleop24.0
End0.0
Third
3192
#24
8.82.3
9.37.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0
red by 2.0
4662
#28
6.81.4
5.44.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.9
End0.0