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Red30
20939.7
31928.8
263525.1
Blue20
405720.0
151012.5
75312.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32310102040506070803020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.2
14.914.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.2
End0.0
red by 5.1
20.01.0
15.114.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
2093
#31
9.70.2
6.76.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 2.8
1510
#27
12.51.0
7.66.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
3192
#24
8.80.2
11.110.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 3.1
753
#21
12.01.0
9.38.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.0
End0.0