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Red15
36369.9
247131.4
404313.3
Blue46
371123.9
15716.9
273316.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553901001501546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.43.1
27.824.8
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 7.5
23.90.3
19.619.8
Auto0.1
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
4043
#15
13.33.1
11.88.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2733
#16
16.10.3
16.216.4
Auto0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
3636
#17
9.93.3
14.711.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 3.0
1571
#29
6.90.3
7.07.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.0
End0.0