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Red6
545012.5
24113.1
15716.9
Blue16
381217.7
546823.2
31318.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194606080100120140616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5450
#14
12.51.2
13.512.3
Auto0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 10.7
23.21.4
16.314.8
Auto0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Second
1571
#29
6.91.2
8.87.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 10.8
3812
#11
17.71.4
18.517.1
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
2411
#30
3.11.2
2.00.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.1
End0.0
blue by 5.3
3131
#26
8.31.4
8.77.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.4
End0.0