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Red40
405720.0
281111.0
252124.4
Blue102
448852.1
247131.4
95621.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3710205015020025040102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.6
20.119.5
Auto0.4
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 27.7
52.10.4
51.051.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Second
20.00.6
19.018.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 11.4
31.40.4
27.127.5
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Third
2811
#22
11.00.6
9.58.9
Auto0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 10.2
956
#8
21.20.4
17.618.0
Auto0.0
Teleop21.1
End0.0