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Red137
255033.0
448852.1
20939.7
Blue78
302412.6
247131.4
404313.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9244015020013778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.10.8
49.850.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 20.7
31.40.4
30.130.6
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
33.00.8
30.731.5
Auto0.2
Teleop32.8
End0.0
red by 19.7
4043
#15
13.30.4
12.012.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
2093
#31
9.70.8
7.58.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3024
#20
12.60.4
11.411.8
Auto0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0