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Red42
252130.8
95629.4
291517.6
Blue67
151025.8
219226.4
95714.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81600501001504267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#11
30.80.6
31.631.0
Auto0.3
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 4.4
26.40.0
26.126.1
Auto0.4
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
956
#7
29.40.6
30.229.6
Auto0.2
Teleop29.1
End0.0
red by 3.5
25.80.0
25.525.5
Auto0.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
2915
#22
17.60.6
18.417.8
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 3.5
957
#31
14.10.0
13.813.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0