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Red74
281129.6
200226.8
519812.1
Blue74
99723.6
19030.5
508521.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6867204060801001207474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.1
29.629.7
Auto0.7
Teleop28.9
End0.0
blue by 0.9
190
#10
30.50.1
29.029.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
26.80.1
26.826.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 3.1
997
#16
23.60.1
22.222.3
Auto0.6
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
5198
#24
12.10.1
12.112.2
Auto0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 9.5
5085
#15
21.60.1
20.120.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0