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Red131
412723.0
219226.4
198379.9
Blue74
319214.0
95550.1
411014.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1163305010015020013174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.91.2
66.667.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop80.1
End0.0
red by 29.8
955
#2
50.11.3
26.527.8
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
Second
26.41.2
18.319.5
Auto0.4
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 11.7
4110
#17Sur
14.71.3
12.313.7
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
4127
#20Sur
23.01.2
22.323.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 8.9
3192
#19Sur
14.01.3
8.69.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0