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Red33
545017.0
469212.6
252130.8
Blue126
219226.4
151025.8
299041.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5383010015020025030033126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#11
30.81.3
33.432.1
Auto0.3
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 10.8
41.62.2
35.037.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
5450
#21
17.01.3
13.412.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 9.4
26.42.2
22.825.0
Auto0.4
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
4692
#23
12.61.3
12.911.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 13.2
25.82.2
23.826.1
Auto0.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0