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Red31
19030.5
411014.7
508521.6
Blue31
237418.9
519812.1
545017.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674301001503131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#10
30.51.7
30.428.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 11.6
2374
#25
18.90.9
19.418.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
5085
#15
21.61.7
22.020.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 4.6
5450
#21
17.00.9
12.011.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
4110
#17
14.71.7
13.311.6
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 2.6
5198
#24
12.10.9
16.715.8
Auto0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0