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Red148
251711.6
95550.1
299041.6
Blue91
19030.5
411014.7
135922.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8653010015020014891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#2
50.13.2
41.544.7
Auto0.2
Teleop49.9
End0.0
red by 19.6
190
#10
30.51.5
27.829.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
41.63.2
36.139.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 19.5
1359
#12
22.11.5
19.921.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
2517
#29
11.63.2
6.49.6
Auto0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4110
#17
14.71.5
12.814.3
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0