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Red110
255052.4
251711.6
319214.0
Blue81
411014.7
84723.6
299041.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706940608010012011081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.42.0
48.550.5
Auto0.0
Teleop52.4
End0.0
red by 10.8
41.60.4
39.339.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
3192
#19
14.02.0
11.913.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 9.6
847
#14
23.60.4
19.820.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
2517
#29
11.62.0
9.611.6
Auto0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 3.1
4110
#17
14.70.4
14.314.7
Auto0.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0