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Red64
142522.5
247137.0
95715.7
Blue52
75315.8
273318.5
143213.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694202060801001201406452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.0
34.334.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
red by 18.5
18.50.1
18.518.6
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
1425
#12
22.50.0
19.719.7
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
red by 6.7
753
#15
15.80.1
15.815.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
957
#23
15.70.0
13.012.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 2.6
1432
#24
13.10.1
13.113.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.1
End0.0