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Red80
219215.9
411010.5
135912.3
Blue48
143213.1
237417.5
412722.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2136060801001201401608048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2192
#13
15.94.7
10.315.0
Auto0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 6.1
22.01.1
10.811.9
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
1359
#21
12.34.7
6.811.5
Auto0.0
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 5.2
2374
#16
17.51.1
14.015.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4110
#27
10.54.7
6.811.5
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
1432
#24
13.11.1
10.011.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.1
End0.0