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Red78
151020.5
367426.3
291517.7
Blue78
299022.9
367311.7
412722.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304102060801001201407878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.32.3
12.614.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 3.4
22.93.1
20.723.8
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
20.52.3
14.416.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 1.5
22.03.1
11.915.0
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
2915
#19
17.73.8
5.99.7
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 6.0
3673
#18
11.71.9
8.310.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0