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Red17
20029.3
404314.2
84712.4
Blue17
411010.5
31316.5
405112.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3434010203040506070801717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#20
14.20.9
14.413.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 1.4
4051
#30
12.80.9
11.911.0
Auto0.2
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Second
847
#25
12.41.5
12.310.8
Auto0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 2.0
4110
#27
10.51.6
12.911.3
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
2002
#29
9.31.5
8.16.6
Auto0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0
red by 2.9
3131
#28
6.50.9
10.99.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0