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Red67
237417.5
367426.3
95715.7
Blue14
404314.2
15715.9
51989.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502104060801001201406714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.31.0
19.620.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.4
End0.0
red by 12.1
4043
#20
14.20.6
13.112.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Second
2374
#16
17.51.4
16.417.8
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 8.2
5198
#31
9.40.9
5.74.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Third
957
#23
15.71.4
11.713.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 9.8
1571
#32
5.90.6
7.46.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.0
End0.0