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Red52
95715.7
546817.7
299022.9
Blue16
75315.8
273318.5
411010.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523502060801001201401605216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.91.1
14.715.7
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 4.4
18.51.2
16.114.9
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
5468
#26
17.70.6
23.223.9
Auto0.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 1.9
753
#15
15.81.2
12.010.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
957
#23
15.71.1
13.414.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
red by 5.2
4110
#27
10.51.9
11.09.1
Auto0.0
Teleop10.4
End0.0