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Red50
273318.5
51989.4
237417.5
Blue38
143213.1
95521.6
247137.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337102060801001201401605038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.5
17.718.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 18.5
37.01.2
35.133.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
2374
#16
17.50.6
17.818.4
Auto0.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 4.0
955
#11
21.61.6
18.016.4
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
5198
#31
9.40.6
4.85.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 3.7
1432
#24
13.11.6
14.713.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.1
End0.0