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Red28
143213.1
75315.8
54974.5
Blue35
95715.7
291517.7
31316.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34300204060801002835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
753
#15
15.80.3
16.215.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 1.9
2915
#19
17.70.2
13.013.1
Auto0.2
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
1432
#24
13.10.4
13.513.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 2.6
957
#23
15.70.2
12.813.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
5497
#33
4.50.4
4.94.5
Auto0.0
Teleop4.5
End0.0
blue by 1.9
3131
#28
6.50.1
6.36.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0