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Red80
299022.9
413222.8
466211.3
Blue98
142522.5
247137.0
95715.7
39%Model gave it61%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526701001502008098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.4
22.623.0
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 14.0
37.00.5
34.334.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
22.80.4
22.522.9
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 0.3
1425
#12
22.50.5
19.820.3
Auto0.3
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Third
4662
#22
11.30.4
11.011.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 4.4
957
#23
15.70.5
13.013.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0