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Red78
42322.7
36543.9
43330.8
Blue98
495418.7
392931.1
171232.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99730501502007898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
43.90.3
44.344.0
Auto2.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 11.8
1712
#17
32.00.3
31.531.8
Auto0.0
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
433
#18
30.80.3
31.230.9
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 0.3
31.10.3
30.530.8
Auto0.7
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
423
#25
22.70.3
23.222.9
Auto0.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 4.0
4954
#20
18.70.3
18.218.5
Auto-0.9
Teleop19.6
End0.0