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Red104
27237.7
31649.5
542024.0
Blue88
457522.7
540428.4
116825.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1126505010015020010488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#2
49.50.1
48.948.8
Auto0.8
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 21.1
28.40.2
27.928.1
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
272
#6
37.70.1
37.036.9
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
red by 12.1
1168
#29
25.60.2
25.125.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
5420
#16
24.00.1
23.323.3
Auto0.9
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 1.3
4575
#19
22.70.2
22.222.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.1
End0.0