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Red123
42322.7
36543.9
43330.8
Blue84
48430.9
32134.2
149516.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987505015012384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#4
43.90.4
44.044.4
Auto2.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
red by 9.7
321
#7
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto0.7
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Second
433
#18
30.80.4
30.931.3
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 0.1
484
#11
30.90.0
30.830.9
Auto1.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Third
423
#25
22.70.4
22.923.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 6.4
1495
#26
16.40.0
16.316.4
Auto0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0