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Red30
434217.6
573311.4
42322.7
Blue48
397437.1
540119.4
27237.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35690501001502003048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
423
#25
22.70.6
15.514.9
Auto0.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 14.9
272
#6
37.70.9
23.322.4
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
4342
#35
17.60.6
17.516.9
Auto0.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 19.5
3974
#10
37.10.9
27.626.7
Auto1.6
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Third
5733
#31
11.40.6
8.98.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 7.9
5401
#24
19.40.9
14.914.1
Auto0.1
Teleop19.2
End0.0