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Red29
179115.2
70918.6
475020.7
Blue83
457522.7
70826.8
463725.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425301002003004002983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4750
#22
20.70.8
19.318.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 6.1
708
#12
26.81.5
21.022.5
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Second
709
#27
18.60.8
13.112.3
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 7.3
4637
#13
25.91.5
18.520.0
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
1791
#32
15.20.8
12.611.8
Auto0.5
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 7.5
4575
#19
22.71.5
14.115.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.1
End0.0