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Red4
116825.6
445414.9
446022.7
Blue47
43330.8
463725.9
434217.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46640100150200447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1168
#29
25.62.3
22.219.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 5.2
433
#18
30.80.8
26.625.8
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Second
4460
#21
22.73.9
16.913.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4637
#13
25.90.8
20.019.2
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
4454
#33
14.92.3
11.79.4
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 2.8
4342
#35
17.60.8
16.916.1
Auto0.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0