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Red65
70826.8
149516.4
446022.7
Blue24
116825.6
434217.6
27237.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58562040801001206524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#12
26.80.4
24.825.2
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 10.9
272
#6
37.70.6
26.525.9
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
4460
#21
22.70.7
17.618.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 2.9
1168
#29
25.60.6
19.819.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
1495
#26
16.40.4
14.715.1
Auto0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4342
#35
17.60.6
14.413.8
Auto0.6
Teleop17.1
End0.0