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Red27
545725.4
445414.9
42322.7
Blue96
32134.2
540119.4
260752.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions409401502002502796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5457
#23
25.40.8
23.122.3
Auto1.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
blue by 26.7
52.20.4
46.747.1
Auto1.0
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
423
#25
22.70.8
15.514.7
Auto0.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 11.5
321
#7
34.20.4
25.525.8
Auto0.7
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
4454
#33
14.90.8
10.910.0
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5401
#24
19.40.4
16.316.7
Auto0.1
Teleop19.2
End0.0