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Red81
48430.9
540428.4
32134.2
Blue58
179115.2
10332.9
149516.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5149204060801008158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#7
34.21.5
18.820.2
Auto0.7
Teleop33.5
End0.0
red by 1.4
103
#14
32.90.3
28.829.1
Auto1.4
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
484
#11
30.91.5
20.922.4
Auto1.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 14.5
1495
#26
16.40.3
11.011.3
Auto0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
28.41.5
11.613.1
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End0.0
red by 13.2
1791
#32
15.20.3
12.412.7
Auto0.5
Teleop14.7
End0.0