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Red159
253914.1
70918.6
22575.6
Blue92
116825.6
495418.7
36543.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927505015015992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
75.63.3
72.075.3
Auto6.7
Teleop68.9
End0.0
red by 31.7
365
#4
43.91.2
40.641.8
Auto2.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
Second
709
#27
18.63.3
13.817.1
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 7.0
1168
#29
25.61.2
22.924.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
2539
#28
14.13.3
6.710.0
Auto1.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 4.6
4954
#20
18.71.2
16.517.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop19.6
End0.0