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Red136
260752.2
253914.1
43330.8
Blue136
545725.4
22575.6
540119.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80118050100150200250136136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.22.4
50.653.0
Auto1.0
Teleop51.2
End0.0
blue by 23.4
225
#1
75.61.0
75.376.3
Auto6.7
Teleop68.9
End0.0
Second
433
#18
30.82.4
27.930.3
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
5457
#23
25.41.0
23.824.8
Auto1.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
2539
#28
14.12.4
10.012.4
Auto1.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 5.3
5401
#24
19.41.0
17.018.0
Auto0.1
Teleop19.2
End0.0