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Red83
48430.9
495418.7
463725.9
Blue141
27237.7
31649.5
8729.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59104015020025083141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#11
30.90.8
27.728.4
Auto1.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
blue by 18.6
316
#2
49.52.0
43.745.7
Auto0.8
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Second
4637
#13
25.90.8
22.623.3
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
blue by 11.8
272
#6
37.72.0
32.834.8
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Third
4954
#20
18.70.8
17.718.5
Auto-0.9
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 10.5
87
#5
29.22.0
24.026.1
Auto0.8
Teleop28.5
End0.0