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Red94
42322.7
540119.4
475020.7
Blue78
139116.4
116825.6
540428.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556401001502002503003504009478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
423
#25
22.71.8
19.821.6
Auto0.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 5.7
28.41.0
25.426.4
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
4750
#22
20.71.8
20.322.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 4.9
1168
#29
25.61.0
25.526.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Third
5401
#24
19.41.8
18.019.8
Auto0.1
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 3.0
1391
#34
16.41.2
13.815.0
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0