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Red106
27237.7
43330.8
35717.8
Blue70
495418.7
70918.6
260752.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7988020030040050010670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#6
37.71.1
34.836.0
Auto1.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
blue by 14.5
52.20.7
53.052.3
Auto1.0
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
433
#18
30.81.1
30.331.5
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 12.1
4954
#20
18.70.7
18.517.8
Auto-0.9
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
357
#30
17.81.1
18.019.1
Auto0.6
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 0.8
709
#27
18.60.7
18.517.8
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0