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Red78
48430.9
457522.7
70918.6
Blue88
397437.1
32134.2
253914.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64830501001502002503007888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#11
30.90.8
29.630.4
Auto1.2
Teleop29.7
End0.0
blue by 6.2
3974
#10
37.10.3
35.535.7
Auto1.6
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Second
4575
#19
22.70.8
21.522.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.1
End0.0
blue by 11.5
321
#7
34.20.3
33.433.7
Auto0.7
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Third
709
#27
18.60.8
17.818.6
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 4.5
2539
#28
14.10.3
13.814.1
Auto1.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0