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Red48
573311.4
43330.8
445414.9
Blue104
42322.7
463725.9
540428.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5373010015020025048104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#18
30.80.2
31.531.2
Auto0.3
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 2.4
28.41.6
26.427.9
Auto2.5
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
4454
#33
14.90.2
15.114.9
Auto0.4
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 11.1
4637
#13
25.91.6
24.325.9
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
5733
#31
11.40.2
11.711.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 11.3
423
#25
22.71.6
21.623.2
Auto0.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0