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Red46
179115.2
139116.4
32134.2
Blue142
495418.7
22575.6
573311.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407205010015020046142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#7
34.20.0
20.220.2
Auto0.7
Teleop33.5
End0.0
blue by 41.4
225
#1
75.63.6
55.759.3
Auto6.7
Teleop68.9
End0.0
Second
1391
#34
16.40.0
13.413.4
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 2.4
4954
#20
18.73.6
8.512.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
1791
#32
15.20.0
12.712.6
Auto0.5
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 3.8
5733
#31
11.43.6
5.28.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0